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Volume 4(4)
REBASING THE REALITY: A DIVE INTO THE REVISED CPI SERIES
Inflation,
the sustained rise in the general price level, is tracked in India through the
Consumer Price Index (CPI), which the Ministry of Statistics and Programme
Implementation (MoSPI) releases on the 12th of every month. For the public and
policymakers alike, it is a vital metric for economic planning. A significant
milestone occurred in 2026 with the revision of the CPI base year to 2024=100,
replacing the long-standing 2012=100 series. This update was facilitated by the
Household Consumption Expenditure Survey (HCES) conducted by the National
Sample Survey Office (NSSO) during 2022–23. While a survey was attempted in
2017–18, its results were not released due to data quality concerns, leaving
the 2011–12 (68th round) as the previous benchmark. By utilizing the 2022–23
HCES data and the report released in 2024, the CPI basket's weights have been
recalibrated to reflect contemporary consumption shifts, such as the declining
share of food expenditure and the rise in discretionary spending. Understanding
the standard operating procedure for this rebasing offers critical insights
into the evolving dynamics of inflation measurement in the Indian economy.
Previously, the prices of the goods
and services in the CPI basket were collected offline with field investigators
going around urban and rural markets to capture the prices. The new series has
utilized technology to augment manual data collection. CPI 2024 series covers 1,465 rural markets and 1,395
urban markets across 434 towns. Major changes in CPI 2024 includes revising item baskets
and weights as per HCES 2023-24, adoption of COICOP - 2018 Framework,
refinement in Index compilation methodology, inclusion of alternative data
sources, use of modern technology and more granular data dissemination. Twelve online markets have been
added across 12 towns with a population of more than 25 lakh to capture price
variations of items sold on e-commerce and online platforms. In addition, price
collection for airfare, telephone and OTT are also collected through online
platforms. At
All-India level, the total weighted items have been increased from 299 to 358.
Specifically, goods items have risen from 259 to 308, and services items from
40 to 50. Field Operations Division of National Sample
Survey (NSS), MoSPI, collects monthly price data for CPI and online prices are
collected on a weekly basis. In the CPI 2024 series, prices are collected using
a tablet-based software application via Computer Assisted Personal Interview (CAPI),
replacing the traditional paper-based method. India has followed the
Classification of Individual Consumption According to Purpose (COICOP) which is
the international classification of household expenditure developed by the
United Nations Statistics Division. The objective of the COICOP is to provide a
framework of homogeneous categories of goods and services from the point of
view of its usage by the households. Its adoption ensures that India’s CPI is
comparable with CPIs worldwide. CPI 2024 has 12 Divisions, 43 Groups, 92
Classes, and 162 Sub-classes as per COICOP 2018. The Jevons index (Short index
formula) is used for compiling elementary indices in the CPI 2024 series. The
Modified Laspeyres’ index is used for compiling higher level indices in
the CPI 2024 series. CPI should include
only items on which households actually spend money. IMF’s manual on CPI also
suggests that social transfer in kind should not be considered in CPI
compilation. In view of this, free social transfers are excluded from CPI. In
the CPI 2024 series, alternative data sources such as administrative data and
e-commerce/online price data are used. Prices for services like Amazon Prime Video,
Netflix, Jio Hotstar, SonyLiv, YouTube Premium, and Zee5 are collected online
directly from the service providers’ websites. Airfares are collected through
well-known online platforms.
A
new CPI series with a shifted base (from 2012=100 to 2024=100) creates a
mathematical break in the data. Because the two series use different baskets,
different weights, and different starting points, they are not naturally
comparable. The Linking Factor is the bridge used to maintain a long-term
historical perspective. It is calculated to connect the two series over a
common overlapping period. The overlapping period here is 2025, during which
both CPI 2012 and CPI 2024 indices are available. This overlapping year forms
the basis for linking the two series. The Ministry plans to institutionalize
base revisions at regular intervals. As per global practices, it should be done
every three to five years, depending on the availability of Household
Consumption Expenditure Survey (HCES) data.
The
transition to the CPI 2024=100 series is a major update that makes India’s
inflation tracking more accurate and modern. By using digital tablets for data
collection and including online prices from e-commerce and streaming services,
the government can now better track how we actually spend money today. The new
index shifts focus away from just basic food items to include more services and
modern needs, reflecting a new India. This updated economic thermometer helps
policymakers make better decisions to keep the economy stable and responsive to
real-world changes.
Comparison
of division-wise weights of 2012=100 and 2024=100
|
2012=100 |
2014=100 |
||
|
Divisions (2012=100) |
Combined weight |
Divisions (2024=100) |
Combined weight |
|
Food and Beverages |
45.863 |
Food and beverages |
36.753 |
|
Pan, Tobacco intoxicants |
2.380 |
Paan, tobacco and intoxicants |
2.989 |
|
Clothing and footwear |
6.527 |
Clothing and footwear |
6.383 |
|
Housing |
10.070 |
Housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels |
17.665 |
|
Fuel and Light |
6.843 |
Furnishings, household equipment and routine household maintenance |
4.469 |
|
Miscellaneous |
28.317 |
Health |
6.100 |
|
|
|
Transport |
8.796 |
|
Information and communication |
3.609 |
||
|
Recreation, sport and culture |
1.516 |
||
|
Education Services |
3.333 |
||
|
Restaurants and accommodation services |
3.348 |
||
|
Personal care, social protection and miscellaneous goods and services
|
5.038 |
||
Press Information Bureau. (2026, February 12). First press release of Consumer Price Index on base 2024=100. Ministry of Statistics & Programme Implementation.
https://www.pib.gov.in/PressReleaseDetail.aspx?PRID=2227012®=3&lang=2
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